Yes, that is good for you. The problem is that every time I bought something, the market tanks. If you short something, then the market is up big against me. To me, it is tough to play right now. Since I can't watch the market minute by minute.
Well, I think you just were unlucky. In no way I'm any kind of adviser, but I think it just happens sometimes. you never know when you guess right or not. And if you're up 10% a year, you are doing very good.
BTW I opened a small position in the oil ETF this Friday, let's see the next week if I lose another 5% (my stop margin) or make something back.